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        <gco:CharacterString>One of the ways of obtaining local-scale climate change scenarios is to use regression-based statistical downscaling of GCMs. In this approach, an empirical relationship between GCM predictors (i.e., near-surface and upper-level atmosphere circulation variables) and surface predictands (such as observed temperature or precipitation from a station) is derived by linear or non-linear transfer functions. For this purpose, an ensemble of daily predictor variables are produced from CanESM5, MPI-ESM1.2-HR, NorESM2-MM, and two reanalysis datasets. 

A total of 26 predictor variables are included in each ensemble, composed of both raw and derived variables, with multiple atmospheric variables available at three different pressure levels. Predictor variables are available at the daily scale on a 64 by 128 latitude-longitude global Gaussian grid with T42 spectral truncation. The historical simulation for 1979-2014 as well as the four Tier 1 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) prioritized by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) and SSP1-1.9 (due to its relevance for the Paris Agreement) for 2015-2100 are available for each GCM (O'Neill et al., 2016). Two reanalysis dataset options are available for the historical period 1979-2014 (ECMWF ERA5 and NCEP-DOE Reanalysis 2).

GCMs chosen for inclusion into the CMIP6 predictors dataset was determined by three factors. Firstly, the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) must have been calculated according to the Gregory methodology and the selected GCMs must cover a range of ECS values (see sections 1.1. and 1.2.). Secondly, the GCM must have run the historical simulation and as many of the five SSPs as possible (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). Thirdly, for the relevant simulations, the seven base variables at all three included pressure levels (if applicable) must be available for download on Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) website (https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/).</gco:CharacterString>
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            <gmd:LocalisedCharacterString locale="#fra">L’un des moyens d’obtenir des scénarios de changement climatique à l’échelle locale consiste à utiliser la réduction d’échelle statistique à l’aide de la régression des MCM. Selon cette approche, une relation empirique entre les prédicteurs des MCM (c’est-à-dire les variables de circulation atmosphérique à proximité de la surface et en altitude) et les prédicteurs de surface (tels que la température ou les précipitations observées à une station) calculée par des fonctions de transfert linéaires ou non linéaires. À cette fin, un ensemble de variables prédictives quotidiennes est produit à partir des modèles CanESM5, MPI-ESM1.2-HR, NorESM2-MM et de deux ensembles de données de réanalyse.

Chaque ensemble contient un total de 26 variables prédictives, composées à la fois de variables brutes et calculées, avec de multiples variables atmosphériques disponibles à trois niveaux différents de pression. Les variables prédictives sont disponibles à l’échelle quotidienne sur une grille gaussienne mondiale de 64 latitudes sur 128 longitudes avec une troncature spectrale T42. La simulation historique pour la période de 1979 à 2014 ainsi que les quatre profils socioéconomiques partagés (SSP) de première catégorie classés prioritaires par le Groupe d’experts intergouvernemental sur l’évolution du climat (GIEC) et le Projet d’intercomparaison de modèles de scénarios (ScenarioMIP) (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 et SSP5-8.5) et SSP1-1.9 (en raison de sa pertinence pour l’Accord de Paris) pour la période de 2015 à 2100 sont disponibles pour chaque modèle climatique mondial (O’Neill et coll., 2016). Deux options des ensembles de données de réanalyse sont disponibles pour la période historique de 1979 à 2014 (ECMWF ERA5 et NCEP-DOE Reanalysis 2).

Trois facteurs ont déterminé le choix des MCM à inclure dans l’ensemble de données des prédicteurs du modèle CMIP6. Premièrement, la Sensibilité du climat à l’équilibre (SCE) doit avoir été calculée selon la méthodologie Gregory et les MCM sélectionnés doivent couvrir une plage de valeurs de SCE (voir sections 1.1. et 1.2.). Deuxièmement, le MCM doit avoir exécuté la simulation historique et le plus grand nombre possible des cinq SSP (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3 7.0 et SSP5-8.5). Troisièmement, pour les simulations concernées, les sept variables de base aux trois niveaux de pression inclus (le cas échéant) doivent être téléchargeables à partir du site Web de la ESGF (Earth System Grid Federation, fédération de la grille du système) (https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6//).</gmd:LocalisedCharacterString>
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            </gmd:CI_OnlineResource>
          </gmd:onLine>
        </gmd:MD_DigitalTransferOptions>
      </gmd:transferOptions>
    </gmd:MD_Distribution>
  </gmd:distributionInfo>
</gmd:MD_Metadata>

