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Global Ensemble Prediction System

The Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) carries out physics calculations to arrive at probabilistic predictions of atmospheric elements from the current day out to 16 days into the future (up to 32 days once a week on Thursdays at 00UTC). The GEPS produces different outlooks (scenarios) to estimate the forecast uncertainties due to the nonlinear (chaotic) behaviour of the atmosphere. The probabilistic predictions are based on an ensemble of 20 scenarios that differ in their initial conditions, their physics parameters which are randomly perturbed by a Stochastic Parameter Perturbation (SPP) method, and the stochastic perturbations (kinetic energy). A control member that is not perturbed is also available. Weather elements include temperature, precipitation, cloud cover, wind speed and direction, humidity and others. This product contains raw numerical results of these calculations. Geographical coverage is global. The horizontal resolution of the system is 0.35 degree (about 39 km at equator). The system has 84 vertical levels for the forecasts and for the analyses. Predictions are performed twice a day.

Basic view

Metadata Record Information

File Identifier
6d9dd2f8-202e-58cb-a110-e2168832aacb XML
Date Stamp
2024-04-09T14:56:16
Metadata language

eng; CAN

Character set
UTF8
Hierarchy Level
Dataset
Point of contact
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Meteorological Service of Canada - National Inquiry Response Team / Équipe nationale de réponse des demandes du public ( National Inquiry Response Team )
77 Westmorland Street, suite 260 , Fredericton , New Brunswick , E3B 6Z4 , Canada
+01-819-997-2800
+01-506-451-6010
https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change.html
Hours of Service

0700h - 1500h EST

 

Data identification

Date (Publication)
2022-05-02
Date (Creation)
2010-10-25
Status
On going
Metadata language

eng; CAN

Character set
UTF8
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
Maintenance and Update Frequency
Continual
Spatial representation type
Grid
Point of contact
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Meteorological Service of Canada - National Inquiry Response Team / Équipe nationale de réponse des demandes du public ( National Inquiry Response Team )
77 Westmorland Street, suite 260 , Fredericton , New Brunswick , E3B 6Z4 , Canada
+01-819-997-2800
+01-506-451-6010
https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change.html
Hours of Service

0700h - 1500h EST

Keywords

Keywords
  • Probabilistic predictions

  • Global

  • Ensemble

Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus

  • Precipitation

  • Weather forecasts

  • Humidity

  • Air temperature

  • Wind

  • Meteorological data

  • Snow

ECCC Information Category EN

  • Weather and Climate

Business Functions

  • Provide Weather Information Products and Services

  • Deliver Weather Products and Services to Clients

Branch

  • Meteorological Service of Canada

Directorate

  • Weather and Environmental Operations

Environment Canada - GC Security Classification

  • Unclassified

Geography

  • International

 
Use Limitation

Open Government Licence - Canada ( http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada )

Access Constraints
Other restrictions
Use Constraints
Other restrictions
Begin Date
1996-01-24

Extent

N
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W
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Ref. system Reference Systems

Reference system identifier
EPSG:4326 / 6.18.3

European Petroleum Survey Group (EPSG) Geodetic Parameter Registry 2008-11-12 publication; publication European Petroleum Survey Group http://www.epsg-registry.org WWW:LINK originator; auteur

 

Spatial representation info

No information provided.

Distribution

Distribution Formats

Distribution format
  • GRIB2 ( 2 )

  • WMS ( 1.3.0 )

 
Distributor
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Meteorological Service of Canada - National Inquiry Response Team / Équipe nationale de réponse des demandes du public ( National Inquiry Response Team )
77 Westmorland Street, suite 260 , Fredericton , New Brunswick , E3B 6Z4 , Canada
+01-819-997-2800
+01-506-451-6010
https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change.html
Hours of Service

0700h - 1500h EST

 
 

Overviews

overview
ecdc_thumbnail_geps.jpg

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S
E
W
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Keywords

Ensemble Global Probabilistic predictions
Branch
Meteorological Service of Canada
Business Functions
Deliver Weather Products and Services to Clients Provide Weather Information Products and Services
Directorate
Weather and Environmental Operations
ECCC Information Category EN
Weather and Climate
Environment Canada - GC Security Classification
Unclassified
Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus
Air temperature Humidity Meteorological data Precipitation Snow Weather forecasts Wind

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