Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections

We publish Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections annually. These projections help measure progress in reducing emissions and combating climate change. GHG projections are presented for various scenarios. Air pollutant emissions projections reflect our efforts to reduce air pollution.



Site Contents:

• current_projections_actuelles: Contains the latest projections from Canada's First Biennial Transparency Report (2024).

• previous_projections_precedentes: Includes projections reported since 2017.



From 2021, a file named “combined-table-tableau-combiné.xlsx” is also included in the top folder. This file contains a summary of all data tables included in the “GHG – GES” and "Energy - Énergie" sub-folders



Key Folders:

• GHG – GES (introduced in 2018): Contains GHG and air pollutant emissions data. From 2021, includes LULUCF net GHG fluxes and accounting contributions. From 2024, includes net GHG flux historical estimates and projections from provinces and territories by land category.

• Energy – Énergie (introduced in 2018): Includes energy and macroeconomic data. From 2021, includes emission factors for flaring, venting, and fugitive emissions for the Oil and Gas sector. From 2022, includes sub-folders with results for the reference case and additional measures scenarios. From 2023, includes emissions per capita by province/territory and for Canada. From 2024, includes a document outlining the calculation of electricity grid intensities with and without biogenic carbon dioxide emissions.



Additional Sub-Folders:



• Reference Scenario de reference (introduced in 2022): Reflects the current Reference Case scenario.



• AM Scenario AMS (introduced in 2022): Reflects the current Additional Measures scenario. From 2023, includes macroeconomic assumptions.



• Description-Tables-Tableaux-de-description (introduced in 2024): This folder includes the data tables used to develop the data visualizations that are available on our website ( https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html). The data presented in this folder can also be found in the other two folders, and is included to make the data presented in the visualizations more accessible.

Basic view

Metadata Record Information

File Identifier
508d0836-ee8f-42e8-879e-9158a5e7caf0 XML
Date Stamp
2025-02-11T17:02:01.985Z
Metadata language

eng; CAN
Character set
UTF8
Hierarchy Level
Series
Author
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada - Environment and Climate Change Canada ( Public Inquiries Centre)

200 Sacré-Coeur Boulevard, 12th Floor, Gatineau, Quebec, K1A 0H3, Canada
1-800-668-6767

 

Data identification

Title

Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections
Date (Revision)
2019-06-11
Date (Creation)
2017-12-29
Date (Publication)
2019-02-04
Status
On going
Metadata language

eng; CAN
Metadata language

fra
Character set
UTF8
Topic category
  • Environment
Maintenance and Update Frequency
Annually
Spatial representation type
Text, table
Custodian
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Strategic Policy Branch, Economic Anaysis Directorate, Analysis and Modeling Division - Glasha Obrekht ( Director)

Keywords

Theme

  • Canada, greenhouse, gas, emissions, GHG, national, inventory, report, NIR, UNFCCC, provincial, province, Territory, Territories, CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC, SF6, NF3, carbon, dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulphur hexafluoride, nitrogen trifluoride, Alberta, AB, British, Columbia, BC, Manitoba, MB, New Brunswick, NB, Newfoundland, Labrador, NFLD, Nova Scotia, NS, Northwest, NT, Nunavut, NU, Ontario, ON, Prince, Edward, Island, PEI, Quebec, QC, Saskatchewan, SASK, Yukon, YK, Energy, Stationary, Combustion, Sources, Electricity, Heat, Generation, Fossil, Fuel, Production, Refining, Mining, Oil, Extraction, Manufacturing, Industry, Industries, Industrial, Construction, Commercial, Institutional, Residential, Agriculture, Agricultural, Forestry, Transport, Civil, Aviation, Domestic, Road, Transportation, Light-duty, Gasoline, Vehicles, Trucks, Heavy-duty, Motorcycles, Diesel, Propane, Natural, Railways, Navigation, Marine, Off-Road, Pipelines, Fugitive, Coal, Processes, Mineral, Products, Cement, Lime, Chemical, Nitric, Acid, Apidic, Petrochemical, Metal, Iron, Steel, Aluminium, Magnesium, Smelters, Casters, Consumption, Halocarbons, Undifferentiated, Solvent, Enteric, Fermentation, Manure, Soils, Direct, Pasture, Range, Paddock, Indirect, Burning, Residues, Waste, Solid, Disposal, Land, Wastewater, Handling, Incineration, Forest, Cropland, Grassland, Wetlands, Settlements, Land-use, pollutant, pollution, air, ozone, particulate, matter, volatile, organic, compound, nitrogen, oxides, sulphur, oxide, ammonia, Pollutants, Environmental, Indicators, Gothenburg Protocol, Paris Agreement, PCF, Pan Canadian Framework, black carbon, Arctic Council, mercury, carbon monoxide, open sources, LULUCF, Land-use, land-use change and forestry, reference, technology, scenario

ECCC Information Category EN

  • Pollution and Waste

  • Air

Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus

  • Greenhouse gases

  • Air pollution

Business Functions

  • Assess Toxicity, Manage and Monitor for Environmental Presence of Hazardous Substances and Waste

  • Monitor / Assess Substance and Waste Levels in Air, Water, Soil, Biota

Geography

  • National (CA)

external.theme.EC_Branch

  • Strategic Policy Branch

external.theme.EC_Directorate

  • Economic Analysis Directorate

external.theme.EC_Program_PAA

  • 3.2. Climate Change and Clean Air

external.theme.GC_Security_Level

  • Unclassified
 
Use Limitation

Open Government Licence - Canada ( http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada)

Access Constraints
License
Use Constraints
License
Begin Date
2005-01-01
End Date
2030-12-31

Extent

N
S
E
W
thumbnail




 
 

Ref. system Reference Systems

Reference system identifier
http://www.epsg-registry.org / EPSG:4326 /
 

Distribution

Distribution Formats

Distribution format
  • CSV ( 1)

 
Owner
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Strategic Policy Branch, Economic Analysis Directorate, Analysis and Modeling Division - Glasha Obrekht ( Manager)

 
 

Overviews

N
S
E
W
thumbnail




Keywords

Canada, greenhouse, gas, emissions, GHG, national, inventory, report, NIR, UNFCCC, provincial, province, Territory, Territories, CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC, SF6, NF3, carbon, dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulphur hexafluoride, nitrogen trifluoride, Alberta, AB, British, Columbia, BC, Manitoba, MB, New Brunswick, NB, Newfoundland, Labrador, NFLD, Nova Scotia, NS, Northwest, NT, Nunavut, NU, Ontario, ON, Prince, Edward, Island, PEI, Quebec, QC, Saskatchewan, SASK, Yukon, YK, Energy, Stationary, Combustion, Sources, Electricity, Heat, Generation, Fossil, Fuel, Production, Refining, Mining, Oil, Extraction, Manufacturing, Industry, Industries, Industrial, Construction, Commercial, Institutional, Residential, Agriculture, Agricultural, Forestry, Transport, Civil, Aviation, Domestic, Road, Transportation, Light-duty, Gasoline, Vehicles, Trucks, Heavy-duty, Motorcycles, Diesel, Propane, Natural, Railways, Navigation, Marine, Off-Road, Pipelines, Fugitive, Coal, Processes, Mineral, Products, Cement, Lime, Chemical, Nitric, Acid, Apidic, Petrochemical, Metal, Iron, Steel, Aluminium, Magnesium, Smelters, Casters, Consumption, Halocarbons, Undifferentiated, Solvent, Enteric, Fermentation, Manure, Soils, Direct, Pasture, Range, Paddock, Indirect, Burning, Residues, Waste, Solid, Disposal, Land, Wastewater, Handling, Incineration, Forest, Cropland, Grassland, Wetlands, Settlements, Land-use, pollutant, pollution, air, ozone, particulate, matter, volatile, organic, compound, nitrogen, oxides, sulphur, oxide, ammonia, Pollutants, Environmental, Indicators, Gothenburg Protocol, Paris Agreement, PCF, Pan Canadian Framework, black carbon, Arctic Council, mercury, carbon monoxide, open sources, LULUCF, Land-use, land-use change and forestry, reference, technology, scenario
Business Functions

Assess Toxicity, Manage and Monitor for Environmental Presence of Hazardous Substances and Waste Monitor / Assess Substance and Waste Levels in Air, Water, Soil, Biota
ECCC Information Category EN

Air Pollution and Waste
Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus

Air pollution Greenhouse gases
external.theme.EC_Branch

Strategic Policy Branch
external.theme.EC_Directorate

Economic Analysis Directorate
external.theme.EC_Program_PAA

3.2. Climate Change and Clean Air
external.theme.GC_Security_Level

Unclassified


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