Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections

We publish Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections annually. These projections help measure progress in reducing emissions and combating climate change. GHG projections are presented for various scenarios. Air pollutant emissions projections reflect our efforts to reduce air pollution.



The purpose of this page is to describe the organization of the greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections and to indicate where to find the online material.



To learn more about Canada’s GHG and air pollutant emissions projections, visit the main page: https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html.



For questions, contact us at epr-rpe@ec.gc.ca



Documents available online:

The full 2025 report will be published in early 2026 and will be available at: https://publications.gc.ca/site/eng/9.866115/publication.html.



The dataset is organized into the following folders:



1-Current-Projections-Actuelles: Contains the latest projections from Canada's 2025 Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollutant Emissions Projections report.



2-Previous-Projections-Precedentes: Includes projections reported since 2017.



Note: Previously published datasets are made available to support analysis of past projections. Over time, the scope and detail of the data have expanded; however, earlier datasets have not been updated to reflect these changes. The structure and organization of older datasets remain unchanged from their original release.



Organization of the ‘1-Current-Projections-Actuelles’ folder:



A-GHG-Emissions: Contains various GHG emissions datasets by sector (economic sector and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) sector) and by gas, for all years, for Canada and for provinces and territories.



B-LULUCF-Sector: Contains various datasets on net fluxes and the accounting contribution from the Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry sector, for Canada and for provinces and territories.



C-Energy-Demand: Includes energy demand by sector and by fuel, electricity generation, electricity grid intensities by province and oil and gas intensities.



D-Air-Pollutant-Emissions: Contains various air pollutant emissions datasets by economic sector and by gas, for all years, for Canada and for provinces and territories.



E-Macroeconomic-Drivers: Contains indicators such as population and labour force, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), as well as values of imports and exports.



F-Support-Documents: Includes a document that describes how the calculation of electricity grid intensities with and without biogenic carbon dioxide emissions is performed.



G-Data-Visualization-Tables: This folder includes the data tables used to develop the visualizations that are available on our website ( https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html). These results can also be found in other tables but are included here to ensure that the data presented in the visualizations is more accessible.



H-Report-Tables: Includes the complete set of tables from the 2025 report (to be published in early 2026), as well as the full time series for each table. While the report displays data for select years, this dataset provides all available years to support more detailed analysis.

Basic view

Metadata Record Information

File Identifier
508d0836-ee8f-42e8-879e-9158a5e7caf0 XML
Date Stamp
2025-12-16T22:59:33.086Z
Metadata language

eng; CAN
Character set
UTF8
Hierarchy Level
Series
Author
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada - Environment and Climate Change Canada ( Public Inquiries Centre)

351 Saint-Joseph Blvd, 16th Floor, Gatineau, Quebec, K1A 0H3, Canada
1-800-668-6767

 

Data identification

Title

Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections
Date (Revision)
2019-06-11
Date (Creation)
2017-12-29
Date (Publication)
2019-02-04
Status
On going
Metadata language

eng; CAN
Metadata language

fra
Character set
UTF8
Topic category
  • Environment
Maintenance and Update Frequency
Annually
Spatial representation type
Text, table
Custodian
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Strategic Policy and International Affairs Branch, Economic Anaysis Directorate, Analysis and Modeling Division - Glasha Obrekht ( Director)

Keywords

Theme

  • Canada, greenhouse, gas, emissions, GHG, national, inventory, report, NIR, UNFCCC, provincial, province, Territory, Territories, CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC, SF6, NF3, carbon, dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulphur hexafluoride, nitrogen trifluoride, Alberta, AB, British, Columbia, BC, Manitoba, MB, New Brunswick, NB, Newfoundland, Labrador, NFLD, Nova Scotia, NS, Northwest, NT, Nunavut, NU, Ontario, ON, Prince, Edward, Island, PEI, Quebec, QC, Saskatchewan, SASK, Yukon, YK, Energy, Stationary, Combustion, Sources, Electricity, Heat, Generation, Fossil, Fuel, Production, Refining, Mining, Oil, Extraction, Manufacturing, Industry, Industries, Industrial, Construction, Commercial, Institutional, Residential, Agriculture, Agricultural, Forestry, Transport, Civil, Aviation, Domestic, Road, Transportation, Light-duty, Gasoline, Vehicles, Trucks, Heavy-duty, Motorcycles, Diesel, Propane, Natural, Railways, Navigation, Marine, Off-Road, Pipelines, Fugitive, Coal, Processes, Mineral, Products, Cement, Lime, Chemical, Nitric, Acid, Apidic, Petrochemical, Metal, Iron, Steel, Aluminium, Magnesium, Smelters, Casters, Consumption, Halocarbons, Undifferentiated, Solvent, Enteric, Fermentation, Manure, Soils, Direct, Pasture, Range, Paddock, Indirect, Burning, Residues, Waste, Solid, Disposal, Land, Wastewater, Handling, Incineration, Forest, Cropland, Grassland, Wetlands, Settlements, Land-use, pollutant, pollution, air, ozone, particulate, matter, volatile, organic, compound, nitrogen, oxides, sulphur, oxide, ammonia, Pollutants, Environmental, Indicators, Gothenburg Protocol, Paris Agreement, PCF, Pan Canadian Framework, black carbon, Arctic Council, mercury, carbon monoxide, open sources, LULUCF, Land-use, land-use change and forestry, reference, technology, scenario

ECCC Information Category EN

  • Air

  • Pollution and Waste

Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus

  • Greenhouse gases

  • Air pollution

Business Functions

  • Assess Toxicity, Manage and Monitor for Environmental Presence of Hazardous Substances and Waste

  • Monitor / Assess Substance and Waste Levels in Air, Water, Soil, Biota

Geography

  • National (CA)

external.theme.EC_Branch

  • Strategic Policy and International Affairs Branch

external.theme.EC_Directorate

  • Economic Analysis Directorate

external.theme.EC_Program_PAA

  • 3.2. Climate Change and Clean Air

external.theme.GC_Security_Level

  • Unclassified
 
Use Limitation

Open Government Licence - Canada ( http://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada)

Access Constraints
License
Use Constraints
License
Begin Date
2005-01-01
End Date
2030-12-31

Extent

N
S
E
W
thumbnail




 
 

Ref. system Reference Systems

Reference system identifier
http://www.epsg-registry.org / EPSG:4326 /
 

Distribution

Distribution Formats

Distribution format
  • CSV ( 1)

 
Owner
  Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Strategic Policy and International Affairs Branch, Economic Analysis Directorate, Analysis and Modeling Division - Glasha Obrekht ( Director)

 
 

Overviews

thumbnail

Keywords

Canada, greenhouse, gas, emissions, GHG, national, inventory, report, NIR, UNFCCC, provincial, province, Territory, Territories, CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC, SF6, NF3, carbon, dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulphur hexafluoride, nitrogen trifluoride, Alberta, AB, British, Columbia, BC, Manitoba, MB, New Brunswick, NB, Newfoundland, Labrador, NFLD, Nova Scotia, NS, Northwest, NT, Nunavut, NU, Ontario, ON, Prince, Edward, Island, PEI, Quebec, QC, Saskatchewan, SASK, Yukon, YK, Energy, Stationary, Combustion, Sources, Electricity, Heat, Generation, Fossil, Fuel, Production, Refining, Mining, Oil, Extraction, Manufacturing, Industry, Industries, Industrial, Construction, Commercial, Institutional, Residential, Agriculture, Agricultural, Forestry, Transport, Civil, Aviation, Domestic, Road, Transportation, Light-duty, Gasoline, Vehicles, Trucks, Heavy-duty, Motorcycles, Diesel, Propane, Natural, Railways, Navigation, Marine, Off-Road, Pipelines, Fugitive, Coal, Processes, Mineral, Products, Cement, Lime, Chemical, Nitric, Acid, Apidic, Petrochemical, Metal, Iron, Steel, Aluminium, Magnesium, Smelters, Casters, Consumption, Halocarbons, Undifferentiated, Solvent, Enteric, Fermentation, Manure, Soils, Direct, Pasture, Range, Paddock, Indirect, Burning, Residues, Waste, Solid, Disposal, Land, Wastewater, Handling, Incineration, Forest, Cropland, Grassland, Wetlands, Settlements, Land-use, pollutant, pollution, air, ozone, particulate, matter, volatile, organic, compound, nitrogen, oxides, sulphur, oxide, ammonia, Pollutants, Environmental, Indicators, Gothenburg Protocol, Paris Agreement, PCF, Pan Canadian Framework, black carbon, Arctic Council, mercury, carbon monoxide, open sources, LULUCF, Land-use, land-use change and forestry, reference, technology, scenario
Business Functions

Assess Toxicity, Manage and Monitor for Environmental Presence of Hazardous Substances and Waste Monitor / Assess Substance and Waste Levels in Air, Water, Soil, Biota
ECCC Information Category EN

Air Pollution and Waste
Government of Canada Core Subject Thesaurus

Air pollution Greenhouse gases
external.theme.EC_Branch

Strategic Policy and International Affairs Branch
external.theme.EC_Directorate

Economic Analysis Directorate
external.theme.EC_Program_PAA

3.2. Climate Change and Clean Air
external.theme.GC_Security_Level

Unclassified


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